Category Archives: GE11

Dublin Bay North 1st Count Prediction

Below is my personal predictions for Dublin Bay North. 2011 Votes for DNC and DNE collected together 2011 Candidate Votes FG Terence Flanagan 12332 15.30% Lab Tommy P Broughan 10006 12.41% FG Richard Bruton 9685 12.01% Lab Aodhan O Riordain … Continue reading

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That Sunday Times BandA poll

For those that are interested the full poll pdf is here.  

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Stability + Plus

The campaign run by Fine Gael is coming in for some criticism, some of it justified, some of it not, some of it just barking. It was always going to be necessary for an incumbent government party to run a … Continue reading

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Lessons for the General Election from the 2011 NUI Seanad

In 2011 there was a large field of candidates for the NUI Seanad panel, with a considerable spread of support across the entire field. 3 candidates who got just 46% of the votes got 100% of the seats. 54% of votes … Continue reading

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Some thoughts in the upcoming Ard Fheis

  I’d thought I’d open up the below efforts to some sort of coverage in advance of the Ard Fheis especially considering some recent press attention on the goings on internally. There are a number motions submitted for the FG Ard Fheis which were … Continue reading

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Uncomfortable with the image of two men and a toddler – Homophobia or plain old sexism?

Seeing a back and forth on twitter last night about the softness of support for the upcoming marriage referendum, I saw a comment that illustrates a problem for the YES Campaign. A problem that if dealt with incorrectly will do … Continue reading

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Collins Institute and the future role of Fine Gael members in policy development

The recent launch or relaunch of the Collins Institute is a development in Irish politics that should be broadly welcomed. Indeed it would make sense that such efforts would receive public funding though I’d suggest more through a reallocation of … Continue reading

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No FG/Lab majority in the next Seanad

Amongst all the fallout from the recent local elections in the republic one that has gone somewhat unheralded (just as the same effect was largely missed in 2009 for the FF/Greens) is the impact that the results have on future … Continue reading

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Dublin European election prediction (April 9th 2014)

By the power of entrails and the reading of tea leaves, here’s my current estimation of the state of play for the Dublin European elections. Sinn Féin Lynn Boylan – 15% Independent Nessa Childers 12% Labour Party Emer Costello – … Continue reading

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Ten reasons to vote No to Seanad Abolition

Vote NO, because you never accept a first offer from a reluctant reformer.  The referendum is what our American cousins would call “a low ball” offer on electoral reform, accept it and you won’t see another word about changes to … Continue reading

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