FF 26% down ten percent, FG up 5 to 33%, Labour up 5% to 15, SF on 10%, Greens on 6% PDs on 2% and others on 8%. Those numbers if true, and given the source I’m strongly inclined to believe them, mean the government.
With independents like Jackie Healy Rae moving on to education the terrain isn’t going to get any easier for the government and this moment probably represents the Green’s best moment to hold FF to the pin of their collar and force concessions in the budget. Failure to do so will leave the Greens tied to this budget as closely as are FF right now.
And if FF don’t revise the budget massively on foot of Green party pressure they should cut and run. It’s the punch that FG should have thrown in ’94. An election while FF are completely on the back foot could be the only chance to get the mandate an Irish government needs to take the actions that are necessary. Will they take the chance or like Gordon Brown fluff it?
Update: poll numbers confirmed on RTe News