Local Elections Predictions – 2009

I think that the share of the national vote will be as follows

FF will get 25%

FF will get 33%,

Greens 3%


SF 8%

Independents 15

I think that FF will stay just over the 250 seat mark. FG will gain about 20 plus seats, Labour would gain 30 plus,  SF will gain a half a dozen seats nationally but could lose a few high profile gains from last time in particular in Dublin where there has been so much churn in the candidates from 2004. Greens will drop under 10 seats. Independents to have a good day but some high profile people will lose out. I expect Michael ‘the stroke’ Fahy to lose and indeed at least one of the Healy Raes could lose out.

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